from Al Ries:
Apple's IPad a Great Example of Divergent Thinking
Marketers Should Ask, 'What Can We Do Without?'
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| Al Ries | |
Not exactly. If I remember correctly, a tablet computer was a laptop computer with a screen that doubled as an electronic notepad.
You could use a stylus to write directly on the screen or you could type on the keyboard. You could save your handwriting as a visual file or you could convert it into typed text.
The launch was a big deal
Earlier in the decade, the launch of the tablet computer was a big deal. Microsoft invested a reported $400 million developing the operating system and companion handwriting-recognition tools. Fourteen computer makers signed up to produce tablet computers including Compaq, Hewlett-Packard, Toshiba, Hitachi, Fujitsu, NEC and Acer.
"It's the ultimate evolution of the laptop," said Bill Gates. "Within five years," he predicted, "it will be the most popular form of PC sold in America."
It never happened.

The tablet computer of 2002 was a convergence product. It combined the functions of a pen computer with the functions of a standard laptop computer.
The tablet computer of 2010 is a divergence product. It's as if Apple took a laptop computer and cut off the keyboard and threw it away, then put a handful of the laptop's more important components into the screen itself.
What remained was a new type of computing device. Lighter, easier to use and almost totally focused on the visual functions of a conventional laptop.
History repeats itself
The first computer was a mainframe. Then the mainframe computer diverged into dozens of difference categories including mid-range computers, servers, desktop computers, laptop computers and today's tablet computer.
Almost every product category follows a similar path. Early on, an inventor develops a unique idea and creates an entirely new category -- the incandescent light bulb, for example, invented by Thomas Edison.
As time goes on, the category diverges. And today we have a host of different types of lighting: fluorescent, neon, halogen, LED, OLED and laser, among other types. No convergence in lighting, only divergence.
Some divergence products, of course, are failures, including the original pen computer, although it's likely that someday someone will solve the difficult problem of handwriting recognition and develop a practical pen computer.
Without a keyboard, of course.
What can we do without?
That's one of the secrets to creating a successful divergence product.

And unlike what some industry experts have predicted, the iPhone and other smartphones are not replacing the personal computer. Worldwide PC shipments, for example, were up 10.3% in the latest quarter.
I must admit, I didn't think the iPhone would be successful because I initially viewed it as a convergence product, a combination cellphone/computer.
In reality, the iPhone and other smartphones are "divergence" devices. We used to have one type of mobile phone and now we have two types: cellphones and smartphones.
Will the smartphone replace the cellphone? Highly unlikely, since the two types are at opposite ends of the spectrum. A cellphone is a relatively inexpensive device for making phone calls. A smartphone is a relatively expensive device for surfing the internet and sending emails, along with a secondary function of making phone calls. (Many iPhone owners also own cellphones for making calls.)
Study other revolutionary developments and you'll usually find they were initiated by asking the question, "What can we do without?"
King Kullen and the supermarket
Take the supermarket industry, pioneered by Michael Cullen. His King Kullen chain on Long Island in New York eliminated one of the most expensive services of a typical grocery store: the clerks who fetched the products from the shelves at the request of consumers.

King Kullen's slogan: "Pile it high. Sell it low."
It might seem illogical, but the original supermarket chains carried even fewer items than a grocery store. King Kullen, for example, carried only 1,200 items.
A grocery store felt obligated to carry everything a customer might ask for. With self-service, consumers made choices from what they saw on the shelves. In a way, those early supermarkets were more like Costco (some 4,000 stock-keeping units) instead of today's typical supermarket (with 30,000 to 40,000 SKUs).
Today, the supermarket industry is in trouble. It's getting hammered at the low end by Walmart and at the high end by Whole Foods.
When was the last time a supermarket operator asked, "What can we do without?" Instead, the typical operator seems driven by the opposite question: What can we add to serve our customers better?
A delicatessen, a bank, a pharmacy, a bakery -- you name it. Typical convergence thinking.
What 's a company in business for?
To marry its customers and take care of their every need ... to have and to hold from this day forward, for better for worse, for richer for poorer, in sickness and in health?
It sounds so obvious and so logical that it's a shame to say convergence doesn't work.
Take Kroger, the nation's largest pure supermarket chain, although Walmart has overtaken it in grocery sales.
The numbers tell the story. In the past 10 years, Kroger had sales of $610.7 billion and net profits after taxes of $7.9 billion, or a net profit margin of only 1.3%.
Whole Foods had twice the profit margin of Kroger. On sales of $53.9 billion, the company had profits of $1.4 billion, or a profit margin of 2.6%.
Walmart is even doing better than that. On sales of $3,063.2 billion, the company had profits of $103.8 billion, or a profit margin of 3.4%.
Ask not what more you can do for your customers. Ask what less you can do for them. What can you eliminate that will help you build a narrowly focused, more profitable brand?
Oddly enough, Walmart, the supermarket industry's nemesis, is also making the same mistake. The chain is repeating what happened to Sears Roebuck years ago. Sears had exactly the same "low cost" position as Walmart before beginning an expansion program that included insurance, real estate and stock brokerage, among other things. "From socks to stocks" was the battle cry.
"From socks to soup," in my opinion, is going to eventually undermine the Walmart brand.
What Apple didn't do
Apple didn't take care of the millions of consumers who were using conventional MP3 players. Instead it focused the iPod on the high end, a thousand songs in your pocket at a much higher price.
Apple didn't take care of the millions of consumers who were using their smartphones primarily as an email device. Instead it introduced the iPhone as a smartphone without a keyboard.
The only recent Apple launch that went nowhere is Apple TV. And guess what? Apple TV is a typical convergence product, the result of trying to marry the internet with the TV set.
For more than a decade, high-tech companies have been trying to put the two together, egged on by the media. "Is it tellynet or netelly" was the headline of an article in the Dec. 13, 1997, issue of The Economist. "If ever two media were meant to wed, they are television and the internet."
Adding the function of one device to another device, of course, doesn't mean the two devices are converging. Radio has not converged with the automobile in spite of the fact that most automobiles have radios. And even if every TV set is able to surf the internet, it doesn't mean that any convergence has taken place.
The essence of convergence
It's when two categories come together and become one category. For example, the personal computer and the TV set.
You might not remember when this was viewed as a distinct possibility, when dozens of companies were working on putting the two together.
As one prominent media pundit put it 15 years ago: "Don't worry about the difference between the TV set and the PC, in the future there will be no distinction between the two."
Oddly enough, that might well have happened except for another phenomenon. Over time, every category evolves as well as diverges. Today's TV set isn't the same as yesterday's TV set.
Today's TV sets are getting bigger and less portable. It's not unusual to find 40, 50, 65, even 73-inch TV sets.
Today's personal computer isn't the same as yesterday's personal computer, either. Desktops are disappearing and laptops are getting smaller and lighter.
Who wants to carry around a 73-inch combination TV set and laptop computer?
A decade of convergence hype
Early in the 1990s, the world witnessed an explosion of convergence hype. Following is a typical quote, from Fortune magazine (Nov. 29, 1993):
"Convergence will be the buzzword for the rest of the decade. This isn't just about cable and telephone hopping into bed together. It's about the cultures and corporations of major industries -- telecommunications (including the long-distance companies), cable, computer, entertainment, consumers electronics, publishing, and even retailing -- combining into one mega-industry."As the decade came to a close, Forbes ASAP, in an issue entitled "The Great Convergence," (Oct. 4, 1999) editorialized as follows: "The emerging idea of our time is convergence. It is the governing metaphor of the turn of the millennium."
I'm hoping the business media will set the record straight by designating the next 10 years as the decade of divergence, perhaps with a quote that goes something like this:
"The emerging idea of our time is divergence. It is the governing metaphor of the next decade. It is the reason why the world has witnessed an array of new categories and new brands: Google, Facebook, YouTube, Twitter, Amazon, iPod, iTunes, iPhone, iPad, BlackBerry, Red Box, Netflix, AOL, Yahoo, eBay, Zappos, Wikipedia, LinkedIn, Flickr, Craigslist, PayPay, Groupon, Zynga. With many more to come."
I'm hoping, but I'm not holding my breath.
| ABOUT THE AUTHOR | |
| Al Ries is chairman of Ries & Ries, an Atlanta-based marketing strategy firm he runs with his daughter and partner Laura. | |




by Karl Greenberg
by Aaron Baar
by Tanya Irwin 


by Karl Greenberg
by Tanya Irwin
by Karl Greenberg 
HBO launched its holiday TV spots Monday, starring fans of HBO series like "Entourage" and "True Blood" reenacting scenes using homemade, cheap, props. How about springing for the shows on DVD or Blu-ray, instead? Awww, Sookie. She has so little to say when she's made of cardboard. A husband reenacts his wife's favorite episode of "True Blood," playing the role of Bill. There's fog, cardboard character cut-outs, set pulleys and a decent imitation of Bill Compton's raspy voice.
"Something's Lurking" in your carpet, and it's not safe, even for plastic dolls and green army men. Promoting the LG Kompressor Elite vacuum, this global video brings hidden dust, dirt and allergens to the top of a rug, in the form of sharks trolling for dinner and hurricane-strength winds. Barbie gets stuck in between couch cushions, unbeknownst to Ken; shark fins begin to swim dangerously close to stuffed animals; a rescue mission is conducted, with army men helping stranded animals to higher ground: the coffee table. The spot ends with the LG Kompressor vacuuming away the particles. "Protect your family from things that are lurking," closes the ad,
That's not snow in the air; it's flakes from scratch-off lottery tickets. Walk with your mouth closed. The New York Lottery launched a holiday TV ad encouraging consumers to make their own holiday by giving the gift of scratch-offs. Flurries of people throughout New York are shown walking and scratching tickets. The dust flies upward, resembling snow. Onlookers know what the flakes are really made of.
What's inside Santa's beard? Would you believe D.B. Cooper? The Oregon Lottery launched "Beard World," an ad promoting its holiday scratch-off game, "What's In Santa's beard?" There's a candy cane that pours syrup from sinks, a headless snowman retrieving his head from the freezer, a walrus flossing his tusks and D.B. Cooper, still attached to his parachute. More importantly, there's the chance to win $10,000.
The Illinois Lottery wants you to "Joy Someone" with holiday scratch-off tickets. An amusing TV spot highlights people on your gift list whom you're unsure what to get. How better to thank your tailor who works wonders on your over-sized clothes, or your co-worker who's blessed with the talent of baking life-like cakes? Yes, I did have a Lionel Richie "Hello" video flashback.
France is a country not necessarily known for its beer, but the country has produced Fischer Beer since 1821. A print campaign amusingly promotes the beer, along with other things France created that you might not know about. Creative uses the term "
Toshiba laptops are made to withstand 99% of drops. I wonder if unrealistic events are also factored into this research -- like woodpeckers. The brand launched a print ad in GQ, Details, Outside, Glamour, SELF and Men's Health magazines featuring an unlikely foe to a laptop placed on a glass-top table with wooden legs. A trio of woodpeckers is dangerously close to pecking through the legs. Promoting its impact-smart hard drives, copy reads: "another common sense innovation in a not so common sense world."
Online poker site Full Tilt Poker launched a TV and print campaign, shot in black and white, and showcasing professional poker players who make up Team Full Tilt. "Average Night" features a player having his ups and downs. Over his shoulder are his biggest critics and supporters: himself. "Feel every emotion. Show none," closes the ad,
Random iPhone App of the week: NCM Media Networks launched its Movie Night Out app to help users plan a night of dinner and a movie. The app can recommend a movie based on the kind of evening a user has in mind. Users can also read reviews, watch trailers and buy tickets via Fandango. Directions to theaters can be mapped out on Google Maps and shared with friends on Facebook, Twitter and email. The app is free from the
by Karl Greenberg
by Aaron Baar
by Tanya Irwin 




